Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.250978 0.295652 0.343232 0.397400 0.457082 0.520568 0.592939
2024-10-13 0.186468 0.245814 0.313571 0.395542 0.490927 0.597379 0.724115
2024-10-20 0.142169 0.209500 0.291656 0.396635 0.524631 0.673195 0.856214
2024-10-27 0.113724 0.186621 0.281254 0.408164 0.569121 0.762002 1.006100
2024-11-03 0.092542 0.168865 0.273973 0.421245 0.614556 0.852538 1.160469
2024-11-10 0.075757 0.153773 0.267543 0.433549 0.658242 0.941417 1.314802
2024-11-17 0.057769 0.132880 0.249742 0.427878 0.676825 0.998116 1.429785
2024-11-24 0.046268 0.119839 0.241272 0.433556 0.709604 1.072904 1.568466
2024-12-01 0.034931 0.104102 0.226181 0.427608 0.725056 1.124439 1.677605
2024-12-08 0.024602 0.087040 0.206154 0.411812 0.724779 1.153857 1.757522
2024-12-15 0.019794 0.080225 0.202469 0.420519 0.759369 1.230598 1.900582
2024-12-22 0.014111 0.069056 0.189110 0.412194 0.767852 1.270977 1.995283
2024-12-29 0.012008 0.066790 0.192589 0.432330 0.820485 1.375174 2.179577
2025-01-05 0.008736 0.059452 0.184878 0.432725 0.842772 1.437010 2.307436
2025-01-12 0.006335 0.053447 0.178856 0.435329 0.868207 1.503572 2.442663
2025-01-19 0.004978 0.050459 0.178870 0.448500 0.910467 1.594963 2.613394
2025-01-26 0.003932 0.048025 0.179702 0.462995 0.955010 1.690221 2.790570
2025-02-02 0.003044 0.045569 0.180059 0.476453 0.998071 1.783896 2.966643
2025-02-09 0.001844 0.039630 0.170727 0.470616 1.009072 1.830225 3.076541
2025-02-16 0.001232 0.036433 0.167783 0.476798 1.039885 1.906249 3.229142
2025-02-23 0.000636 0.031497 0.159018 0.470530 1.049265 1.949997 3.336083
2025-03-02 0.000215 0.025593 0.145780 0.453716 1.039612 1.964283 3.400527
2025-03-09 0.000110 0.023905 0.145049 0.463040 1.075263 2.048096 3.566001